NBA DFS Uncovered: Strategies, Sleepers, and the Late-Game Conundrum
- Steven Kinsman
- Oct 3, 2023
- 5 min read
Howdy, fellow sports enthusiasts and DFS aficionados! Today, we're diving headfirst into the electrifying world of NBA Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS). It's like playing chess, but instead of knights and rooks, you're moving around points and players. Buckle up because in this article, we'll explore the art of crafting winning lineups, seeking out those hidden gems, and tackling the nail-biting late-game scenarios. Let's get this party started!
Building Winning Lineups
In NBA DFS, the name of the game is maximizing your point potential, and that means selecting your players carefully. The secret sauce? Balance. You want a mix of superstar players and those sneaky value picks. It's like whipping up a delicious recipe – you need the main course and the side dishes.
1. Stars & Value Picks: Your lineup needs the big names who consistently bring in the points and the underappreciated gems with the potential to outshine their price tags. Managing your budget wisely is key. 2. Matchup Mastery: Dive deep into player matchups, just like a crafty quarterback dissecting the opposing defense. Is your guard up against a leaky perimeter defense? Is your center facing an undersized frontcourt? These details can make or break your lineup. 3. Injury Insights: Keep your eagle eye on injury reports. A player's unexpected absence is like a last-minute quarterback sack. Always have a backup plan ready to roll.
The Hunt for Sleepers
Sleepers are the hidden treasures of NBA DFS, waiting to be unearthed. Finding them takes a mixture of thorough research and a touch of intuition – kind of like knowing when to go deep for that touchdown pass. In other cases, they are very easy to find. Example: Stud starting point guard is out, who is entering the starting lineup in place of him? Chances are they will be cheap and receive plenty of minutes because the pricing on different platforms factor in assumptions of starting lineups and minutes that will be played. This is where you can take advantage.
1. In-Depth Research: Take a deep dive into player statistics, recent performances, and emerging trends. Sometimes, the best sleepers are hiding in plain sight. 2. Minutes & Roles: Look out for players who have recently seen more playing time or have taken on a bigger role due to injuries or game strategies. 3. Teams on Back-to-backs: In some cases, teams will help protect the health of their star players when they play two nights in a row by either reducing their minutes or resting them completely. This is where you can find bench players who may receive more minutes than usual. 4. Points Per Minute Stats: Finding a site that provides you with DFS points per minute played on players is a great resource to view. You may be able to find players who score a lot of fantasy points per minute, but don’t receive many actual playing minutes in the game. If these players are given extra time, there may be value to find there since they are showing they can produce when given the chance. 5. Trust Your Gut: Sometimes, picking a sleeper is like calling an audible at the line of scrimmage – it might not be the obvious choice, but if your instincts say go for it, go for it!
Navigating the Late-Game Dilemma

One of the trickiest situations in NBA DFS is dealing with a mix of early and late games in a single slate. You've locked in your early lineup, but your palms are sweating because some of your late-game stars might not suit up. Fear not, we've got a playbook for that!
1. Swap Plan: Always have a plan in place for late-game swaps. Identify potential replacements that fit the budget constraints of your lineup build and keep a close watch on player news. Checking a specific team’s X account for their starting lineup is a great place to start. Typically, it is the first release of starting lineups that you will be able to find. If one of your late-game stars is unexpectedly “resting”, you'll be ready to make a move and won’t base your next decision squarely on panicked emotion but be able to use some calm intellect to adjust your lineup. 2. Late Games in Flex Spot: Make sure to put the highest priced player (depending on your roster selection) in the flex spot who is starting the latest. This provides you with the chance to swap last minute and not lose out on the $$ amount that player costs. You can choose a quality player at equal cost. Example: you started Steph Curry in the PG spot, and his game starts at 10 PM. At the last minute the team decides he will not play that night and now you need a replacement except you can only replace him with a PG, which unless you have done research, there may not be another high-end PG available in the late window to pivot to. Now you are stuck with a low ceiling player and little chance to win. Now you can make this work if you notice that Damien Lillard or Luka is also playing late and you can pivot to one of them. Say Lillard and Luka were not playing, if you had Curry in the FLEX position it then allows you to choose the equal value of player from ANY position, leaving you with more options at your disposal. 3. Stagger Your Lineup: Consider spreading your lineup across both early and late games. That way, you won't be caught off guard if you need to make last-minute adjustments. This obviously doesn’t apply if you select all players from the earlier start times. This isn’t a must, just something to be mindful of. 4. Late-Scratch Insurance: Include players from the late games who are less likely to be affected by last-minute scratches. This reduces the risk of having a gaping hole in your lineup.
Scoring in Classic DraftKings NBA DFS
Before you dive into the wild world of NBA DFS, it's essential to understand how scoring works in a classic DraftKings contest. Points are your currency, and your mission is to rake in as many as possible.
· Points: Players earn points for various in-game actions like scoring, grabbing rebounds, dishing assists, swiping steals, and blocking shots. Versatile players have more ways to cash in. · Bonuses: DraftKings dishes out bonuses for triple-doubles, double-doubles, and three-pointers made. These bonuses can give your lineup a sweet boost. · Negative Points: Players also lose points for turnovers. So, while you're on the hunt for stars, make sure they're not throwing the ball away like it's going out of style.
NBA DFS is an electrifying rollercoaster where strategy, research, and quick thinking rule the day. Just like on the basketball court, it's all about seizing opportunities and staying nimble. Carefully select your players, hunt for those sleepers, and be prepared for those late-game twists!
Comments